Queens Park Rangers vs 
Millwall
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals dominates at 74% probability because QPR's 0.54 expected-goals edge and combined 2.67 xG total point to a genuinely open match that rarely stays below two goals.
Queens Park RangersstepMillwallQPR average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). Millwall average 5.0 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
QPR vs Millwall — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between QPR and Millwall — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: QPR 47% · draw 31% · Millwall 23%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Queens Park Rangers 1–1 MillwallModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.