How it finished
PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured PSV Eindhoven at 68% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 19%. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. PSV Eindhoven had 10 shots (2 on target) to Shakhtar Donetsk's 8 (2), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured PSV Eindhoven at 68% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 19%. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. PSV Eindhoven had 10 shots (2 on target) to Shakhtar Donetsk's 8 (2), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.5.
What was the final score in PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with PSV Eindhoven 68%, the draw 19% and Shakhtar Donetsk 14%.
What were the stats in PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.5, Shots 10–8, Shots on target 2–2, Shots inside box 3–6, Big chances 0–0, Corners 3–3, Saves 1–1, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 3–6.
Did both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Yes — both PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said PSV Eindhoven to win 68%, it finished Draw (19% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes.