PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Amsterdam prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 9 Aug · 13:30 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 9 Aug · 13:30 UK
PEC Zwolle 45Draw 30Ajax Amsterdam 25
The call
77%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Ajax Amsterdam beat PEC Zwolle 2–0. Bawler's model favoured PEC Zwolle at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Ajax Amsterdam 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. PEC Zwolle had 7 shots (2 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 26 (6), with 31% of the ball against 69%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.5.

PEC ZwolleFull-time statsAjax…
31%Possession69%
0.6Expected goals (xG)1.5
7Shots26
2Shots on target6
4Shots inside box13
1Big chances1
2Corners10
4Saves2
12Fouls10
0Offsides0
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultPEC Zwolle 45%Ajax Amsterdam (25% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score57%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 77%Landed
Second callBTTS Yes 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
PEC Zwolle to score81%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Ajax Amsterdam to score70%
Under 3.5 goals67%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Ajax Amsterdam beat PEC Zwolle 2–0. Bawler's model favoured PEC Zwolle at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Ajax Amsterdam 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. PEC Zwolle had 7 shots (2 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 26 (6), with 31% of the ball against 69%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.5.

What was the final score in PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Amsterdam?

PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax Amsterdam, played on 09 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with PEC Zwolle 45%, the draw 30% and Ajax Amsterdam 25%.

What were the stats in PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Full-time: Possession 31%–69%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.5, Shots 7–26, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 4–13, Big chances 1–1, Corners 2–10, Saves 4–2, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–2, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Amsterdam?

No. It finished 0–2, so PEC Zwolle failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Amsterdam right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said PEC Zwolle 45%, it finished Ajax Amsterdam (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said BTTS Yes 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →PEC Zwolle form →Ajax Amsterdam form →