OH Leuven vs Standard Liege prediction — Pro League · Sat 29 Aug · 19:45 UK

Pro League · Sat 29 Aug · 19:45 UK
OH Leuven 37Draw 26Standard Liege 37
The call
79%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

Standard Liege beat OH Leuven 2–1. Bawler's model favoured OH Leuven at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Standard Liege 37%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. OH Leuven had 22 shots (3 on target) to Standard Liege's 5 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.4, so OH Leuven created the better chances and still lost the game.

OH LeuvenFull-time statsStandard…
63%Possession37%
1.9Expected goals (xG)1.4
22Shots5
3Shots on target3
16Shots inside box3
4Big chances2
6Corners3
1Saves2
7Fouls8
3Offsides5
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultOH Leuven 37%Standard Liege (37% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score59%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals79%
OH Leuven to score77%
Standard Liege to score77%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

OH LeuvenBefore half-timeStandard Liege
55%Chance to score55%
8.3Expected shots6.5
3.0Expected shots on target2.3
3.4Expected corners2.5
70%Chance of 7+ shots46%
45%Chance of 9+ shots22%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
35%Chance of 4+ shots on target20%
83%Chance of 2+ corners69%
44%Chance of 4+ corners25%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 80%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5OHO 2 · D 1 · STA 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

May 2026Standard Liege 2–1 OH Leuven
Apr 2026OH Leuven 1–3 Standard Liege
Dec 2025Standard Liege 0–1 OH Leuven
Aug 2025OH Leuven 1–0 Standard Liege
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

Standard Liege beat OH Leuven 2–1. Bawler's model favoured OH Leuven at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Standard Liege 37%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. OH Leuven had 22 shots (3 on target) to Standard Liege's 5 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.4, so OH Leuven created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

OH Leuven 1–2 Standard Liege, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with OH Leuven 37%, the draw 26% and Standard Liege 37%.

What were the stats in OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.4, Shots 22–5, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 16–3, Big chances 4–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–2, Fouls 7–8, Offsides 3–5, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

Yes — both OH Leuven and Standard Liege scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said OH Leuven 37%, it finished Standard Liege (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →OH Leuven form →Standard Liege form →