Leeds United beat Nottingham Forest 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Nottingham Forest at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Leeds United 30%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Nottingham Forest had 12 shots (2 on target) to Leeds United's 11 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.5, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Leeds United beat Nottingham Forest 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Nottingham Forest at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Leeds United 30%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Nottingham Forest had 12 shots (2 on target) to Leeds United's 11 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.5, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances and still lost the game.
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds United, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nottingham Forest 43%, the draw 27% and Leeds United 30%.
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.5, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 6–6, Big chances 0–0, Corners 3–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 15–14, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 2–1.
No. It finished 0–1, so Nottingham Forest failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Nottingham Forest 43%, it finished Leeds United (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Missed.