FT · SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Pro League · Friday, 28 August 2026

Al Khaleej 1–5 Al HilalMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 28 August 2026

Al Khaleej
1–5
Al Hilal win
Al Hilal

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Hilal to win at 66%. Bawler had Al Khaleej at 13%, the draw at 20% and Al Hilal at 66%. The match finished 1–5.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Khaleej win
13%
Draw
20%
Al Hilal win
66%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
0.9 – 2.2
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 5
Total 6 (+2.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 3.9
From the match itself

The match produced 2.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Al Hilal to win
Pre-match: 66%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 37%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

More from Bawler