Moreirense vs Maritimo prediction — Liga Portugal · Mon 14 Sept · 20:15 UK

Liga Portugal · Mon 14 Sept · 20:15 UK
37Moreirense win28Draw35Maritimo win
Full time
3–1

How it finished

Moreirense beat Maritimo 3–1. Moreirense had 11 shots (5 on target) to Maritimo's 9 (2), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.8.

MoreirenseFull-time statsMaritimo
38%Possession62%
2.0Expected goals (xG)0.8
11Shots9
5Shots on target2
7Shots inside box6
4Big chances1
3Corners5
1Saves1
14Fouls16
0Offsides0
1Yellow cards3
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Moreirense win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.3v1.3
2.6 in total
Both teams score
53%
Leans yes
3+ goals
49%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

MoreirenseMoreirenseMaritimoMaritimo
1.3Goals1.3
9.7Shots16.7
2.1On target5.0
2.2Corners3.7
MoreirenseMoreirenseMaritimoMaritimo
0.4Goals0.4
4.5Shots7.5
1.0On target2.3
1.0Corners1.7
MoreirenseMoreirenseMaritimoMaritimo
0.9Goals0.9
5.2Shots9.2
1.2On target2.7
1.1Corners2.0

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals74%
Moreirense to score74%
3 goals or fewer73%
Maritimo to score73%
Goal before half-time57%

First half — what we expected

Moreirense
35%
to score before half-time
Maritimo
35%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

MoreirenseMoreirenseMaritimoMaritimo
20%7+ shots58%
<10%9+ shots35%
57%1+ shots on target87%
<10%3+ shots on target39%
57%1+ corners77%
11%3+ corners26%

League position

Maritimo in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2022Moreirense 0–1 Marítimo
Oct 2021Marítimo 0–0 Moreirense
Mar 2021Marítimo 0–2 Moreirense
Oct 2020Moreirense 2–1 Marítimo
Mar 2020Moreirense 2–0 Marítimo
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Moreirense form →Maritimo form →

Common questions

Who won Moreirense vs Maritimo?

Moreirense beat Maritimo 3–1. Moreirense had 11 shots (5 on target) to Maritimo's 9 (2), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Moreirense vs Maritimo?

Moreirense 3–1 Maritimo, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Moreirense 37%, the draw 28% and Maritimo 35%.

What were the stats in Moreirense vs Maritimo?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.8, Shots 11–9, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 4–1, Corners 3–5, Saves 1–1, Fouls 14–16, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Moreirense vs Maritimo?

Yes — both Moreirense and Maritimo scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.