How it finished
Udinese beat Monza 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Monza at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Udinese 35%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 5. Monza had 14 shots (5 on target) to Udinese's 12 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 0.9, so Monza created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 67%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Monza vs Udinese?
Udinese beat Monza 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Monza at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Udinese 35%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 5. Monza had 14 shots (5 on target) to Udinese's 12 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 0.9, so Monza created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Monza vs Udinese?
Monza 2–3 Udinese, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Monza 37%, the draw 28% and Udinese 35%.
What were the stats in Monza vs Udinese?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.9, Shots 14–12, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 10–10, Big chances 3–0, Corners 3–3, Saves 2–3, Fouls 10–12, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Monza vs Udinese?
Yes — both Monza and Udinese scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Monza vs Udinese right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Monza 37%, it finished Udinese (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 65%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.