Mjällby AIF vs RB Salzburg prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 17:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 17:00 UK
Mjällby AIF 40Draw 26RB Salzburg 34
Our call before kickoff
66%
Mjällby AIF or draw
Missed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

RB Salzburg beat Mjällby AIF 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Mjällby AIF at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave RB Salzburg 34%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Mjällby AIF had 10 shots (1 on target) to RB Salzburg's 24 (8), with 31% of the ball against 69%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.6.

Mjällby AIFFull-time statsRB Salzburg
31%Possession69%
1.3Expected goals (xG)2.6
10Shots24
1Shots on target8
10Shots inside box17
2Big chances2
2Corners6
8Saves1
12Fouls7
2Offsides0
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callMjällby AIF or draw 66%RB Salzburg won (34% called)
Total goals2.91
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Mjällby AIFRB Salzburg
1.5
Goals+0.1
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals78%
Mjällby AIF to score78%
RB Salzburg to score75%
Under 3.5 goals67%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
RB Salzburg in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Mjällby AIF vs RB Salzburg?

RB Salzburg beat Mjällby AIF 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Mjällby AIF at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave RB Salzburg 34%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Mjällby AIF had 10 shots (1 on target) to RB Salzburg's 24 (8), with 31% of the ball against 69%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.6.

What was the final score in Mjällby AIF vs RB Salzburg?

Mjällby AIF 0–1 RB Salzburg, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Mjällby AIF 40%, the draw 26% and RB Salzburg 34%.

What were the stats in Mjällby AIF vs RB Salzburg?

Full-time: Possession 31%–69%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.6, Shots 10–24, Shots on target 1–8, Shots inside box 10–17, Big chances 2–2, Corners 2–6, Saves 8–1, Fouls 12–7, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Mjällby AIF vs RB Salzburg?

No. It finished 0–1, so Mjällby AIF failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Mjällby AIF vs RB Salzburg right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Mjällby AIF or draw 66%, it finished RB Salzburg won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Mjällby AIF form →RB Salzburg form →