RB Salzburg beat Mjällby AIF 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Mjällby AIF at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave RB Salzburg 34%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Mjällby AIF had 10 shots (1 on target) to RB Salzburg's 24 (8), with 31% of the ball against 69%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
RB Salzburg beat Mjällby AIF 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Mjällby AIF at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave RB Salzburg 34%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Mjällby AIF had 10 shots (1 on target) to RB Salzburg's 24 (8), with 31% of the ball against 69%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.6.
Mjällby AIF 0–1 RB Salzburg, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Mjällby AIF 40%, the draw 26% and RB Salzburg 34%.
Full-time: Possession 31%–69%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.6, Shots 10–24, Shots on target 1–8, Shots inside box 10–17, Big chances 2–2, Corners 2–6, Saves 8–1, Fouls 12–7, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–0.
No. It finished 0–1, so Mjällby AIF failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Mjällby AIF or draw 66%, it finished RB Salzburg won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Missed.