Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction — MLS · Sun 11 Oct · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 11 Oct · 01:30 UK
46Minnesota United FC win26Draw28Houston Dynamo FC win
Full time
2–2

How it finished

Minnesota United FC and Houston Dynamo FC drew 2–2. Minnesota United FC had 15 shots (6 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 15 (6), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.7.

Minnesota…Full-time statsHouston…
46%Possession54%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.7
15Shots15
6Shots on target6
10Shots inside box12
1Big chances3
2Corners5
4Saves4
16Fouls4
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards0
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Minnesota United FC win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.6v1.2
2.8 in total
Both teams score
57%
Leans yes
3+ goals
54%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FCHouston Dynamo FCHouston Dynamo FC
1.6Goals1.2
13.0Shots13.0
4.8On target5.1
4.8Corners4.3
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FCHouston Dynamo FCHouston Dynamo FC
0.6Goals0.5
6.3Shots6.0
2.2On target2.2
2.3Corners2.0
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FCHouston Dynamo FCHouston Dynamo FC
1.0Goals0.7
6.8Shots7.0
2.6On target2.9
2.6Corners2.3

What we said the chances were

Minnesota United FC to score80%
2 or more goals78%
Houston Dynamo FC to score70%
3 goals or fewer68%
Goal before half-time66%

First half — what we expected

Minnesota United FC
45%
to score before half-time
Houston Dynamo FC
38%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FCHouston Dynamo FCHouston Dynamo FC
69%5+ shots65%
43%7+ shots39%
86%1+ shots on target86%
37%3+ shots on target38%
85%1+ corners82%
38%3+ corners32%

League position

Houston Dynamo FC in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Oct 2026Minnesota United 2–2 Houston Dynamo FC
Jun 2025Minnesota United 3–1 Houston Dynamo FC
May 2025Houston Dynamo FC 2–0 Minnesota United
Jul 2024Houston Dynamo FC 1–1 Minnesota United
Apr 2024Minnesota United 1–2 Houston Dynamo FC
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Minnesota United FC form →Houston Dynamo FC form →

Common questions

Who won Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Minnesota United FC and Houston Dynamo FC drew 2–2. Minnesota United FC had 15 shots (6 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 15 (6), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.7.

What was the final score in Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Minnesota United FC 2–2 Houston Dynamo FC, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Minnesota United FC 46%, the draw 26% and Houston Dynamo FC 28%.

What were the stats in Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.7, Shots 15–15, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 10–12, Big chances 1–3, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–4, Fouls 16–4, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Yes — both Minnesota United FC and Houston Dynamo FC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.