Málaga vs Deportivo prediction — LaLiga · Mon 24 Aug · 20:30 UK

LaLiga · Mon 24 Aug · 20:30 UK
Málaga 48Draw 26Deportivo 26
The call
77%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

Málaga and Deportivo drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Málaga at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultMálaga 48%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score55%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 77%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Málaga to score80%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Deportivo to score68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5MAL 2 · D 3 · DEP 0
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Apr 2026Deportivo A Coruña 1–1 Malaga
Oct 2025Malaga 3–0 Deportivo A Coruña
Jan 2025Malaga 1–1 Deportivo A Coruña
Oct 2024Deportivo A Coruña 0–0 Malaga
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Málaga vs Deportivo?

Málaga and Deportivo drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Málaga at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored.

What was the final score in Málaga vs Deportivo?

Málaga 1–1 Deportivo, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Málaga 48%, the draw 26% and Deportivo 26%.

Did both teams score in Málaga vs Deportivo?

Yes — both Málaga and Deportivo scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Málaga vs Deportivo right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Málaga 48%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Málaga form →Deportivo form →