How it finished
Bulgaria beat Luxembourg 2–0. Luxembourg had 18 shots (7 on target) to Bulgaria's 13 (5), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 0.9, so Luxembourg created the better chances and still lost the game.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
Bulgaria beat Luxembourg 2–0. Luxembourg had 18 shots (7 on target) to Bulgaria's 13 (5), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 0.9, so Luxembourg created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
Luxembourg 0–2 Bulgaria, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Luxembourg 45%, the draw 27% and Bulgaria 27%.
What were the stats in Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.9, Shots 18–13, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 11–10, Big chances 2–2, Corners 5–4, Saves 3–7, Fouls 15–15, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
No. It finished 0–2, so Luxembourg failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.