Lommel SK vs Royal Charleroi SC prediction — Jupiler Pro League · Sun 16 Aug · 18:15 UK

Jupiler Pro League · Sun 16 Aug · 18:15 UK
Lommel SK 40Draw 28Royal Charleroi SC 32
The call
68%
Lommel SK or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Royal Charleroi SC beat Lommel SK 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Lommel SK at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Royal Charleroi SC 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Lommel SK had 8 shots (0 on target) to Royal Charleroi SC's 23 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 1.3.

Lommel SKFull-time statsRoyal…
44%Possession56%
0.3Expected goals (xG)1.3
8Shots23
0Shots on target5
4Shots inside box14
0Big chances2
2Corners12
3Saves0
8Fouls7
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultLommel SK 40%Royal Charleroi SC (32% called)
Total goals2.51
Both teams to score50%No
Model callLommel SK or Draw 68%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Lommel SK to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Royal Charleroi SC to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Lommel SK vs Royal Charleroi SC?

Royal Charleroi SC beat Lommel SK 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Lommel SK at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Royal Charleroi SC 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Lommel SK had 8 shots (0 on target) to Royal Charleroi SC's 23 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Lommel SK vs Royal Charleroi SC?

Lommel SK 0–1 Royal Charleroi SC, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lommel SK 40%, the draw 28% and Royal Charleroi SC 32%.

What were the stats in Lommel SK vs Royal Charleroi SC?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–1.3, Shots 8–23, Shots on target 0–5, Shots inside box 4–14, Big chances 0–2, Corners 2–12, Saves 3–0, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Lommel SK vs Royal Charleroi SC?

No. It finished 0–1, so Lommel SK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Lommel SK vs Royal Charleroi SC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Lommel SK 40%, it finished Royal Charleroi SC (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Lommel SK or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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