Le Mans vs Brest prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK
Le Mans 34Draw 27Brest 39
The call
76%
Over 1.5 goals
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Le Mans and Brest drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Brest at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Le Mans had 8 shots (5 on target) to Brest's 26 (7), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 2.4.

Le MansFull-time statsBrest
50%Possession50%
0.7Expected goals (xG)2.4
8Shots26
5Shots on target7
5Shots inside box23
1Big chances3
1Corners10
4Saves3
14Fouls12
3Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBrest 39%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.74
Both teams to score55%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 76%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Brest to score76%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Le Mans to score73%
Under 3.5 goals71%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.1 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Le Mans vs Brest?

Le Mans and Brest drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Brest at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Le Mans had 8 shots (5 on target) to Brest's 26 (7), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 2.4.

What was the final score in Le Mans vs Brest?

Le Mans 2–2 Brest, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Le Mans 34%, the draw 27% and Brest 39%.

What were the stats in Le Mans vs Brest?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–2.4, Shots 8–26, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 5–23, Big chances 1–3, Corners 1–10, Saves 4–3, Fouls 14–12, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Le Mans vs Brest?

Yes — both Le Mans and Brest scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Le Mans vs Brest right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Brest 39%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Le Mans form →Brest form →