Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelAn open game: both sides to score, with Rayan Fofana and Conrad Harder both getting shots away.
Le Havre AC v Strasbourg prediction
Our model only just leans towards Strasbourg here: 40% to win, with Le Havre AC on 34% and the draw on 25%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Le Havre AC 1–2 Strasbourg, the most likely Strasbourg win (9%). Le Havre AC are expected to score 1.5 goals and Strasbourg 1.6, 3.1 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (62%) and three or more goals is 60%.
We expect Le Havre AC to have 14.5 shots (5.0 on target) and Strasbourg 12.1 (4.5 on target), and corners at 5.1 to 3.8. Of their last five meetings on our records, Le Havre AC have won three, Strasbourg two. The last meeting ended Le Havre 2–1 Strasbourg, in Feb 2026.
On form, Le Havre AC have no wins, no draws and six defeats from their last six games, and Strasbourg have one win, no draws and five defeats. Of the players, Rayan Fofana (Le Havre AC) tops both our lists, with 3.5 shots and 1.1 on target expected if they start. Pape Demba Diop of Strasbourg is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. Bawler's pick combines Both Teams to Score, Over 21.5 Total Shots, Rayan Fofana 1+ Shot and Conrad Harder 1+ Shot. We make the chance of all four coming in 54%, a fair price of 5/6 (1.85).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Le Havre AC · last 6
Strasbourg · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Strasbourg or draw is 66% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27 and 2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Ligue 1 table →Common questions
Who will win Le Havre AC vs Strasbourg?
Bawler's model rates this match: Strasbourg are favoured (40% win probability vs 34% for Le Havre AC, 25% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Le Havre AC vs Strasbourg?
Bawler's predicted score is Le Havre AC 1-2 Strasbourg: the most likely score if Strasbourg win, which is the likeliest result (40%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.6%. Expected total goals: 3.1.
How does Bawler predict Le Havre AC vs Strasbourg?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Le Havre AC 34%, the draw 25% and Strasbourg 40%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Le Havre AC vs Strasbourg?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 62% chance. That is based on Le Havre AC expecting 1.47 goals and Strasbourg 1.61.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Le Havre AC vs Strasbourg?
Bawler's model expects 3.1 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 60%.
When are the Le Havre AC v Strasbourg line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Le Havre AC v Strasbourg?
Both Teams to Score (62%), Over 21.5 Total Shots (81%), Rayan Fofana 1+ Shot (94%), Conrad Harder 1+ Shot (92%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 54% chance, a fair price of 5/6 (1.85). 18+, please gamble responsibly.