FT · France: Ligue 1 · Friday, 06 November 2026
Toulouse 3–1 StrasbourgMatch recap · Friday, 06 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Toulouse or Draw✓
Toulouse Over 12.5 Shots✗
Casper Tengstedt 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Toulouse win
47%
Result
Draw
25%
Strasbourg win
28%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.3
Total 3.0
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.