KVC Westerlo vs Union St.-Gilloise prediction — Jupiler Pro League · Sat 8 Aug · 19:45 UK

Jupiler Pro League · Sat 8 Aug · 19:45 UK
KVC Westerlo 36Draw 31Union St.-Gilloise 33
The call
75%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–5

How it finished

Union St.-Gilloise beat KVC Westerlo 5–1. Bawler's model favoured KVC Westerlo at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Union St.-Gilloise 33%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. KVC Westerlo had 12 shots (3 on target) to Union St.-Gilloise's 19 (10), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.8.

KVC WesterloFull-time statsUnion…
55%Possession45%
0.8Expected goals (xG)1.8
12Shots19
3Shots on target10
8Shots inside box15
0Big chances4
4Corners5
4Saves2
12Fouls8
0Offsides4
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultKVC Westerlo 36%Union St.-Gilloise (33% called)
Total goals2.86
Both teams to score56%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 75%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals76%
KVC Westerlo to score76%
Union St.-Gilloise to score74%
Under 3.5 goals70%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won KVC Westerlo vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Union St.-Gilloise beat KVC Westerlo 5–1. Bawler's model favoured KVC Westerlo at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Union St.-Gilloise 33%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. KVC Westerlo had 12 shots (3 on target) to Union St.-Gilloise's 19 (10), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.8.

What was the final score in KVC Westerlo vs Union St.-Gilloise?

KVC Westerlo 1–5 Union St.-Gilloise, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KVC Westerlo 36%, the draw 31% and Union St.-Gilloise 33%.

What were the stats in KVC Westerlo vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.8, Shots 12–19, Shots on target 3–10, Shots inside box 8–15, Big chances 0–4, Corners 4–5, Saves 4–2, Fouls 12–8, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in KVC Westerlo vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Yes — both KVC Westerlo and Union St.-Gilloise scored, finishing 1–5. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Union St.-Gilloise right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said KVC Westerlo 36%, it finished Union St.-Gilloise (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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