KV Mechelen and Standard Liege drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured KV Mechelen at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 6. KV Mechelen had 19 shots (4 on target) to Standard Liege's 16 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
KV Mechelen and Standard Liege drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured KV Mechelen at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 6. KV Mechelen had 19 shots (4 on target) to Standard Liege's 16 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.7.
KV Mechelen 3–3 Standard Liege, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KV Mechelen 41%, the draw 31% and Standard Liege 28%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–1.7, Shots 19–16, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 13–10, Big chances 3–1, Corners 5–2, Saves 4–1, Fouls 8–17, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 0–3.
Yes — both KV Mechelen and Standard Liege scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said KV Mechelen 41%, it finished Draw (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.