KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege prediction — Pro League · Sun 16 Aug · 17:30 UK

Pro League · Sun 16 Aug · 17:30 UK
KV Mechelen 41Draw 31Standard Liege 28
The call
78%
Over 1.5 goals
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–3

How it finished

KV Mechelen and Standard Liege drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured KV Mechelen at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 6. KV Mechelen had 19 shots (4 on target) to Standard Liege's 16 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.7.

KV MechelenFull-time statsStandard…
53%Possession47%
2.8Expected goals (xG)1.7
19Shots16
4Shots on target7
13Shots inside box10
3Big chances1
5Corners2
4Saves1
8Fouls17
4Offsides2
0Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultKV Mechelen 41%Draw (31% called)
Total goals2.76
Both teams to score55%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 78%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
KV Mechelen to score78%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals71%
Standard Liege to score70%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5MEC 0 · D 4 · STA 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Nov 2025KV Mechelen 0–1 Standard Liege
Sept 2025Standard Liege 1–1 KV Mechelen
May 2025KV Mechelen 0–0 Standard Liege
Mar 2025Standard Liege 2–2 KV Mechelen
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege?

KV Mechelen and Standard Liege drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured KV Mechelen at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 6. KV Mechelen had 19 shots (4 on target) to Standard Liege's 16 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.7.

What was the final score in KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege?

KV Mechelen 3–3 Standard Liege, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KV Mechelen 41%, the draw 31% and Standard Liege 28%.

What were the stats in KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–1.7, Shots 19–16, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 13–10, Big chances 3–1, Corners 5–2, Saves 4–1, Fouls 8–17, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 0–3.

Did both teams score in KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege?

Yes — both KV Mechelen and Standard Liege scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said KV Mechelen 41%, it finished Draw (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →KV Mechelen form →Standard Liege form →