Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction — Champions League - Qualification · Tue 11 Aug · 18:00 UK

Champions League - Qualification · Tue 11 Aug · 18:00 UK
Kauno Zalgiris 40Draw 28Dinamo Zagreb 32
The call
68%
Kauno Zalgiris or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

Dinamo Zagreb beat Kauno Zalgiris 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Kauno Zalgiris at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dinamo Zagreb 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Kauno Zalgiris had 18 shots (7 on target) to Dinamo Zagreb's 12 (5), with 61% of the ball against 39%.

Kauno…Full-time statsDinamo Zagreb
61%Possession39%
18Shots12
7Shots on target5
8Corners1
16Fouls10
3Offsides0
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultKauno Zalgiris 40%Dinamo Zagreb (32% called)
Total goals2.53
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callKauno Zalgiris or Draw 68%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Kauno Zalgiris to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Dinamo Zagreb to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Dinamo Zagreb beat Kauno Zalgiris 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Kauno Zalgiris at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dinamo Zagreb 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Kauno Zalgiris had 18 shots (7 on target) to Dinamo Zagreb's 12 (5), with 61% of the ball against 39%.

What was the final score in Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Kauno Zalgiris 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb, played on 11 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kauno Zalgiris 40%, the draw 28% and Dinamo Zagreb 32%.

What were the stats in Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Shots 18–12, Shots on target 7–5, Corners 8–1, Fouls 16–10, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 2–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Yes — both Kauno Zalgiris and Dinamo Zagreb scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Kauno Zalgiris 40%, it finished Dinamo Zagreb (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Kauno Zalgiris or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Kauno Zalgiris form →Dinamo Zagreb form →