KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen prediction — Jupiler Pro League · Sun 9 Aug · 12:30 UK

Jupiler Pro League · Sun 9 Aug · 12:30 UK
KAA Gent 53Draw 28KV Mechelen 18
The call
76%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

KAA Gent beat KV Mechelen 2–0. Bawler's model had KAA Gent in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. KAA Gent had 15 shots (8 on target) to KV Mechelen's 5 (2), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.3.

KAA GentFull-time statsKV Mechelen
53%Possession47%
1.2Expected goals (xG)0.3
15Shots5
8Shots on target2
10Shots inside box3
2Big chances0
4Corners1
2Saves7
11Fouls11
1Offsides1
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultKAA Gent 53%KAA Gent (53% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score52%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 76%Landed
Second callBTTS Yes 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
KAA Gent to score84%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals70%
KV Mechelen to score62%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.8 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
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Common questions

Who won KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?

KAA Gent beat KV Mechelen 2–0. Bawler's model had KAA Gent in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. KAA Gent had 15 shots (8 on target) to KV Mechelen's 5 (2), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.3.

What was the final score in KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?

KAA Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen, played on 09 Aug 2026 in the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KAA Gent 53%, the draw 28% and KV Mechelen 18%.

What were the stats in KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.3, Shots 15–5, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 10–3, Big chances 2–0, Corners 4–1, Saves 2–7, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?

No. It finished 2–0, so KV Mechelen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said KAA Gent 53%, it finished KAA Gent (53% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said BTTS Yes 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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