FT · Scotland: Scottish Prem · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
St Mirren 1–1 HibernianMatch recap · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
St Mirren win
30%
Draw
28%
Result
Hibernian win
42%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.4
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 1.4
From the match itself
The match produced 0.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.