Atalanta beat Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–0. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Hapoel Tel Aviv had 11 shots (3 on target) to Atalanta's 14 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Atalanta beat Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–0. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Hapoel Tel Aviv had 11 shots (3 on target) to Atalanta's 14 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.0.
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–1 Atalanta, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hapoel Tel Aviv 17%, the draw 21% and Atalanta 62%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.0, Shots 11–14, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 0–2, Corners 7–6, Saves 3–3, Fouls 12–13, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 4–0.
No. It finished 0–1, so Hapoel Tel Aviv failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atalanta to win 62%, it finished Atalanta won (62% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No.