What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
Bawler's model rates this match: Hapoel Tel Aviv are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Atalanta, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 Atalanta (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.
How does Bawler predict Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Hapoel Tel Aviv 40%, the draw 28% and Atalanta 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).