Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:00 UK
Hapoel Tel Aviv 17Draw 21Atalanta 62
Our call before kickoff
62%
Atalanta to win
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
63%

How it finished

Atalanta beat Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–0. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Hapoel Tel Aviv had 11 shots (3 on target) to Atalanta's 14 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.0.

Hapoel Tel…Full-time statsAtalanta
50%Possession50%
0.7Expected goals (xG)1.0
11Shots14
3Shots on target4
8Shots inside box6
0Big chances2
7Corners6
3Saves3
12Fouls13
0Offsides0
4Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAtalanta to win 62%Atalanta won (62% called)
Total goals3.21
Both teams to score58%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Hapoel Tel AvivAtalanta
1.1
Goals+1.1
2.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Atalanta to score88%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Hapoel Tel Aviv to score65%
Over 2.5 goals63%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.1 / match
Atalanta in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

Atalanta beat Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–0. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Hapoel Tel Aviv had 11 shots (3 on target) to Atalanta's 14 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–1 Atalanta, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hapoel Tel Aviv 17%, the draw 21% and Atalanta 62%.

What were the stats in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.0, Shots 11–14, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 0–2, Corners 7–6, Saves 3–3, Fouls 12–13, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 4–0.

Did both teams score in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

No. It finished 0–1, so Hapoel Tel Aviv failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atalanta to win 62%, it finished Atalanta won (62% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Before this
20 AugAAtalanta0–0 D
All fixtures & results →Hapoel Tel Aviv form →Atalanta form →