Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave prediction — Liga Portugal · Sun 9 Aug · 20:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sun 9 Aug · 20:30 UK
Gil Vicente 58Draw 29Rio Ave 13
The call
71%
Gil Vicente to win
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

Gil Vicente beat Rio Ave 1–0. Bawler's model had Gil Vicente in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Gil Vicente had 12 shots (4 on target) to Rio Ave's 6 (2), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.3.

Gil VicenteFull-time statsRio Ave
64%Possession36%
1.5Expected goals (xG)0.3
12Shots6
4Shots on target2
7Shots inside box1
2Big chances1
5Corners2
2Saves3
14Fouls9
2Offsides0
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultGil Vicente 58%Gil Vicente (58% called)
Total goals2.41
Both teams to score42%No
Model callHome Win 71%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 55%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Gil Vicente to score82%
Under 3.5 goals77%
Over 1.5 goals70%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.0 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
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Common questions

Who won Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave?

Gil Vicente beat Rio Ave 1–0. Bawler's model had Gil Vicente in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Gil Vicente had 12 shots (4 on target) to Rio Ave's 6 (2), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.3.

What was the final score in Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave?

Gil Vicente 1–0 Rio Ave, played on 09 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gil Vicente 58%, the draw 29% and Rio Ave 13%.

What were the stats in Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.3, Shots 12–6, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 7–1, Big chances 2–1, Corners 5–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave?

No. It finished 1–0, so Rio Ave failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 42% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Gil Vicente 58%, it finished Gil Vicente (58% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 42%, it finished No; Model call — we said Home Win 71%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 55%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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