Georgia vs Ukraine prediction — UEFA Nations League · Mon 28 Sept · 17:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Mon 28 Sept · 17:00 UK
23Georgia win26Draw51Ukraine win
Our call before kickoff
77%
Ukraine or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 0–0

How it finished

Georgia and Ukraine drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Ukraine at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Georgia had 14 shots (5 on target) to Ukraine's 7 (2), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.2.

GeorgiaFull-time statsUkraine
49%Possession51%
0.9Expected goals (xG)0.2
14Shots7
5Shots on target2
4Shots inside box3
1Big chances0
4Corners0
2Saves5
13Fouls14
1Offsides0
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callUkraine or draw 77%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.80
Both teams to score54%No
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

Ukraine to score82%
2 or more goals76%
Goal before half-time71%
3 goals or fewer70%
Georgia to score66%
Both teams score54%
3 or more goals52%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

GeorgiaGeorgiaUkraineUkraine
1.1Goals1.7
GeorgiaGeorgiaUkraineUkraine
0.5Goals0.8
GeorgiaGeorgiaUkraineUkraine
0.6Goals0.9

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Georgia
38%
to score before half-time
Ukraine
53%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Nov 2024Georgia 1–1 Ukraine
Oct 2024Ukraine 1–0 Georgia
Jun 2015Georgia 1–2 Ukraine
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Georgia vs Ukraine?

Georgia and Ukraine drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Ukraine at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Georgia had 14 shots (5 on target) to Ukraine's 7 (2), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.2.

What was the final score in Georgia vs Ukraine?

Georgia 0–0 Ukraine, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Georgia 23%, the draw 26% and Ukraine 51%.

What were the stats in Georgia vs Ukraine?

Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.2, Shots 14–7, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 4–3, Big chances 1–0, Corners 4–0, Saves 2–5, Fouls 13–14, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Georgia vs Ukraine?

No. It finished 0–0, so Georgia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Georgia vs Ukraine right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ukraine or draw 77%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Georgia form →Ukraine form →