What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Georgia vs Ukraine?
Bawler's model rates this match: Ukraine are favoured (41% win probability vs 33% for Georgia, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Georgia vs Ukraine?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Georgia 1-1 Ukraine (12.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.96.
How does Bawler predict Georgia vs Ukraine?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Georgia 33%, the draw 26% and Ukraine 41%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Georgia vs Ukraine?
BTTS: Yes (59% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.39 and away expected goals 1.57.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Georgia vs Ukraine?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.96. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).