Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelAn open game: both sides to score, with Gonzalo García and Evanilson both getting shots away.
Fulham v AFC Bournemouth prediction
There is little between the sides in this Premier League game. AFC Bournemouth edge it at 40%, Fulham are 34% and a draw is 26%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Fulham 1–2 AFC Bournemouth, the most likely AFC Bournemouth win (9%). Fulham are expected to score 1.4 goals and AFC Bournemouth 1.5, 2.9 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (58%) and three or more goals is 54%.
We expect Fulham to have 15.4 shots (4.9 on target) and AFC Bournemouth 13.0 (4.4 on target), and corners at 5.5 to 5.2. Of their last five meetings on our records, Fulham have won one, AFC Bournemouth three, and one was drawn. The last meeting ended Fulham 0–1 AFC Bournemouth, in May 2026.
On form, Fulham have two wins, two draws and two defeats from their last six games, and AFC Bournemouth have six wins, no draws and no defeats. Of the players, Gonzalo García (Fulham) tops both our lists, with 2.3 shots and 0.9 on target expected if they start. Jorge Cuenca of Fulham is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2025/26. Bawler's pick for this game is Both Teams to Score, Over 23.5 Total Shots, Gonzalo García 1+ Shot and Evanilson 1+ Shot. Our model gives all four landing together a 41% chance, which makes the fair price 11/8 (2.43).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Fulham · last 6
AFC Bournemouth · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
AFC Bournemouth or draw is 66% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Premier League table →Common questions
Who will win Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
Bawler's model rates this match: AFC Bournemouth are favoured (40% win probability vs 34% for Fulham, 26% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
Bawler's predicted score is Fulham 1-2 AFC Bournemouth: the most likely score if AFC Bournemouth win, which is the likeliest result (40%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.6%. Expected total goals: 2.9.
How does Bawler predict Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Fulham 34%, the draw 26% and AFC Bournemouth 40%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 58% chance. That is based on Fulham expecting 1.36 goals and AFC Bournemouth 1.49.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
Bawler's model expects 2.9 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 54%.
When are the Fulham v AFC Bournemouth line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Fulham v AFC Bournemouth?
Both Teams to Score (58%), Over 23.5 Total Shots (79%), Gonzalo García 1+ Shot (86%), Evanilson 1+ Shot (83%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 41% chance, a fair price of 11/8 (2.43). 18+, please gamble responsibly.