FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Aston Villa 1–1 FulhamMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Aston Villa win
46%
Draw
26%
Result
Fulham win
27%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.2
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 2.2
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.