FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Fulham 1–1 Newcastle UnitedMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Fulham win
43%
Draw
26%
Result
Newcastle United win
31%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.3
Total 2.9
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.