Finland vs Belarus prediction — UEFA Nations League · Tue 29 Sept · 17:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Tue 29 Sept · 17:00 UK
57Finland win22Draw21Belarus win
Our call before kickoff
79%
Finland or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 0–0

How it finished

Finland and Belarus drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Finland at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Finland had 9 shots (2 on target) to Belarus' 9 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 0.5.

FinlandFull-time statsBelarus
61%Possession39%
0.6Expected goals (xG)0.5
9Shots9
2Shots on target3
6Shots inside box7
3Big chances0
8Corners2
3Saves2
18Fouls14
1Offsides3
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFinland or draw 79%Draw (22% called)
Total goals3.40
Both teams to score63%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 86%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

Finland to score88%
2 or more goals86%
Goal before half-time78%
Belarus to score72%
3 or more goals66%
Both teams score63%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

FinlandFinlandBelarusBelarus
2.2Goals1.3
FinlandFinlandBelarusBelarus
1.0Goals0.6
FinlandFinlandBelarusBelarus
1.2Goals0.7

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Finland
62%
to score before half-time
Belarus
43%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Jun 2018Finland 2–0 Belarus
Jun 2013Belarus 1–1 Finland
Jun 2013Finland 1–0 Belarus
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Finland vs Belarus?

Finland and Belarus drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Finland at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Finland had 9 shots (2 on target) to Belarus' 9 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Finland vs Belarus?

Finland 0–0 Belarus, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Finland 57%, the draw 22% and Belarus 21%.

What were the stats in Finland vs Belarus?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–0.5, Shots 9–9, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 6–7, Big chances 3–0, Corners 8–2, Saves 3–2, Fouls 18–14, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Finland vs Belarus?

No. It finished 0–0, so Finland failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Finland vs Belarus right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Finland or draw 79%, it finished Draw (22% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Finland form →Belarus form →