FT · Europe: UEFA Nations League · Saturday, 26 September 2026

San Marino 0–7 FinlandMatch recap · Saturday, 26 September 2026

San Marino
0–7
Finland win
Finland

Pre-match probability vs result

San Marino win
4%
Draw
10%
Finland win
85%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
0.7 – 3.2
Total 3.9
Actual
0 – 7
Total 7 (+3.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.0 – 3.8
From the match itself

The match produced 3.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

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