Fenerbahce vs SK Sturm Graz prediction — Champions League - Qualification · Wed 5 Aug · 19:00 UK

Champions League - Qualification · Wed 5 Aug · 19:00 UK
Fenerbahce 31Draw 40SK Sturm Graz 29
The call
87%
Under 2.5 goals
1.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

Fenerbahce beat SK Sturm Graz 2–0. Bawler's model favoured the draw at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fenerbahce 31%. It forecast 1.3 goals and the match produced 2. Fenerbahce had 17 shots (10 on target) to SK Sturm Graz's 5 (1), with 72% of the ball against 28%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.2.

FenerbahceFull-time statsSK Sturm Graz
72%Possession28%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.2
17Shots5
10Shots on target1
12Shots inside box3
1Big chances0
4Corners2
1Saves8
10Fouls19
4Offsides0
0Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultDraw 40%Fenerbahce (31% called)
Total goals1.32
Both teams to score23%No
Model callUnder 2.5 Goals 87%Landed
Second call1X 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 2.5 goals85%
Both teams to score — no77%
Under 1.5 goals62%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.0 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Fenerbahce vs SK Sturm Graz?

Fenerbahce beat SK Sturm Graz 2–0. Bawler's model favoured the draw at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fenerbahce 31%. It forecast 1.3 goals and the match produced 2. Fenerbahce had 17 shots (10 on target) to SK Sturm Graz's 5 (1), with 72% of the ball against 28%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.2.

What was the final score in Fenerbahce vs SK Sturm Graz?

Fenerbahce 2–0 SK Sturm Graz, played on 05 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fenerbahce 31%, the draw 40% and SK Sturm Graz 29%.

What were the stats in Fenerbahce vs SK Sturm Graz?

Full-time: Possession 72%–28%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.2, Shots 17–5, Shots on target 10–1, Shots inside box 12–3, Big chances 1–0, Corners 4–2, Saves 1–8, Fouls 10–19, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 0–3.

Did both teams score in Fenerbahce vs SK Sturm Graz?

No. It finished 2–0, so SK Sturm Graz failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 23% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Fenerbahce vs SK Sturm Graz right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Draw 40%, it finished Fenerbahce (31% called); Total goals — we said 1.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 23%, it finished No; Model call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 87%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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