Fenerbahce vs SK Sturm Graz
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Under 2.5 Goals dominates at 87% probability because both sides generate just 1.32 combined expected goals—a low-volume script built on Fenerbahçe's marginal 31% win odds.
FenerbahcestepSK Sturm GrazFenerbahçe average 6.7 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Fenerbahce vs SK Sturm Graz — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Fenerbahce and SK Sturm Graz — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Fenerbahce 31% · draw 40% · SK Sturm Graz 29%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Fenerbahce 2–0 SK Sturm GrazModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.