Fenerbahce beat SK Sturm Graz 2–0. Bawler's model favoured the draw at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fenerbahce 31%. It forecast 1.3 goals and the match produced 2. Fenerbahce had 17 shots (10 on target) to SK Sturm Graz's 5 (1), with 72% of the ball against 28%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Fenerbahce beat SK Sturm Graz 2–0. Bawler's model favoured the draw at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fenerbahce 31%. It forecast 1.3 goals and the match produced 2. Fenerbahce had 17 shots (10 on target) to SK Sturm Graz's 5 (1), with 72% of the ball against 28%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.2.
Fenerbahce 2–0 SK Sturm Graz, played on 05 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fenerbahce 31%, the draw 40% and SK Sturm Graz 29%.
Full-time: Possession 72%–28%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.2, Shots 17–5, Shots on target 10–1, Shots inside box 12–3, Big chances 1–0, Corners 4–2, Saves 1–8, Fouls 10–19, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 0–3.
No. It finished 2–0, so SK Sturm Graz failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 23% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Draw 40%, it finished Fenerbahce (31% called); Total goals — we said 1.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 23%, it finished No; Model call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 87%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 52%, it finished Landed.