FC Twente beat ADO Den Haag 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Twente had 24 shots (12 on target) to ADO Den Haag's 10 (5), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
FC Twente beat ADO Den Haag 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Twente had 24 shots (12 on target) to ADO Den Haag's 10 (5), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.5.
FC Twente 2–0 ADO Den Haag, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Twente 80%, the draw 13% and ADO Den Haag 7%.
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–0.5, Shots 24–10, Shots on target 12–5, Shots inside box 18–4, Big chances 5–1, Corners 12–2, Saves 5–10, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–3.
No. It finished 2–0, so ADO Den Haag failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Twente to win 80%, it finished FC Twente won (80% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No.