FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 12 Sept · 15:30 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 12 Sept · 15:30 UK
FC Twente 80Draw 13ADO Den Haag 7
Our call before kickoff
80%
FC Twente to win
Landed
3.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
50%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
70%

How it finished

FC Twente beat ADO Den Haag 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Twente had 24 shots (12 on target) to ADO Den Haag's 10 (5), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.5.

FC TwenteFull-time statsADO Den Haag
61%Possession39%
2.8Expected goals (xG)0.5
24Shots10
12Shots on target5
18Shots inside box4
5Big chances1
12Corners2
5Saves10
10Fouls11
2Offsides3
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFC Twente to win 80%FC Twente won (80% called)
Total goals3.62
Both teams to score50%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

FC TwenteADO Den Haag
2.9
Goals+2.1
0.8
26.7
Shots+20.4
6.3
10.0
On target+8.3
1.7
8.7
Corners+5.9
2.8
FC TwenteADO Den Haag
0.6
Goals+0.5
0.2
12.8
Shots+10.4
2.5
4.9
On target+4.2
0.7
4.1
Corners+2.8
1.3
FC TwenteADO Den Haag
2.2
Goals+1.7
0.6
13.9
Shots+10.0
3.9
5.1
On target+4.1
1.0
4.6
Corners+3.1
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
FC Twente to score94%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%

First half — what we expected

FC Twente
65%
to score before half-time
ADO Den Haag
17%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

FC TwenteADO Den Haag
12.81st-half shots2.5
4.91st-half shots on target0.7
4.11st-half corners1.3

First-half chances

59%Chance of 12+ shots<10%
41%Chance of 14+ shots<10%
68%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
36%Chance of 6+ shots on target<10%
72%Chance of 3+ corners17%
38%Chance of 5+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · FC Twente12.813.9
Shots · ADO Den Haag2.53.9
Shots on target · FC Twente4.95.1
Shots on target · ADO Den Haag0.71.0
Corners · FC Twente4.14.6
Corners · ADO Den Haag1.31.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+2.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FC Twente 2 · Draws 1 · ADO Den Haag 2
ADO Den Haag in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2021FC Twente 3–2 ADO Den Haag
Nov 2020ADO Den Haag 2–4 FC Twente
Dec 2019ADO Den Haag 0–0 FC Twente
Apr 2018ADO Den Haag 2–1 FC Twente
Dec 2017FC Twente 2–3 ADO Den Haag
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag?

FC Twente beat ADO Den Haag 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Twente had 24 shots (12 on target) to ADO Den Haag's 10 (5), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.5.

What was the final score in FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag?

FC Twente 2–0 ADO Den Haag, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Twente 80%, the draw 13% and ADO Den Haag 7%.

What were the stats in FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–0.5, Shots 24–10, Shots on target 12–5, Shots inside box 18–4, Big chances 5–1, Corners 12–2, Saves 5–10, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag?

No. It finished 2–0, so ADO Den Haag failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Twente to win 80%, it finished FC Twente won (80% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →FC Twente form →ADO Den Haag form →