We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if FC Lugano win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)Expected goals
1.5v1.3
2.8 in totalBoth teams score
57%
Leans yes3+ goals
54%
Leans likelyWhat we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
1.5Goals1.3
0.7Goals0.6
0.9Goals0.7
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we said the chances were
FC Lugano to score78%
2 or more goals78%
Red Star Belgrade to score73%
Goal before half-time72%
3 goals or fewer68%
First half — what we expected
49%
to score before half-time
44%
to score before half-time
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
League position
Red Star Belgrade in their league tableTop quarter
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won FC Lugano vs Red Star Belgrade?
FC Lugano beat Red Star Belgrade 3–2.
What was the final score in FC Lugano vs Red Star Belgrade?
FC Lugano 3–2 Red Star Belgrade, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Conference League. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Lugano 42%, the draw 26% and Red Star Belgrade 32%.
Did both teams score in FC Lugano vs Red Star Belgrade?
Yes — both FC Lugano and Red Star Belgrade scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.