FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
FC Lugano 3–0 Kauno ZalgirisMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
FC Lugano or Draw✓
FC Lugano Over 11.5 Shots✓
FC Lugano Over 1.5 Shots on Target✓
FC Lugano Over 3.5 Corners✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Lugano win
76%
Result
Draw
16%
Kauno Zalgiris win
9%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.6 – 0.8
Total 3.4
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (−0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 0.3
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 3.4.