FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC prediction — MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 01:30 UK

MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 01:30 UK
42FC Dallas win26Draw32Seattle Sounders FC win
Full time
1–0

How it finished

FC Dallas beat Seattle Sounders FC 1–0. FC Dallas had 15 shots (3 on target) to Seattle Sounders FC's 16 (7), with 43% of the ball against 57%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 1.8, so Seattle Sounders FC created the better chances and still lost the game.

FC DallasFull-time statsSeattle…
43%Possession57%
0.9Expected goals (xG)1.8
15Shots16
3Shots on target7
11Shots inside box9
1Big chances2
7Corners11
7Saves2
6Fouls5
0Offsides2
2Yellow cards0
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if FC Dallas win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.6v1.4
3.0 in total
Both teams score
59%
Leans yes
3+ goals
57%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

FC DallasFC DallasSeattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FC
1.6Goals1.4
13.7Shots12.4
5.2On target5.0
4.1Corners4.6
FC DallasFC DallasSeattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FC
1.0Goals0.6
6.7Shots5.4
2.6On target2.1
1.9Corners2.2
FC DallasFC DallasSeattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FC
0.6Goals0.8
7.0Shots7.1
2.6On target2.9
2.2Corners2.4

What we said the chances were

FC Dallas to score80%
2 or more goals80%
Goal before half-time79%
Seattle Sounders FC to score74%
3 goals or fewer65%

First half — what we expected

FC Dallas
62%
to score before half-time
Seattle Sounders FC
43%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

FC DallasFC DallasSeattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FC
61%6+ shots43%
36%8+ shots22%
70%2+ shots on target58%
28%4+ shots on target18%
80%1+ corners84%
31%3+ corners36%

League position

Seattle Sounders FC in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2026Seattle Sounders FC 2–1 FC Dallas
May 2025Seattle Sounders FC 1–0 FC Dallas
Apr 2025FC Dallas 0–1 Seattle Sounders FC
Jun 2024Seattle Sounders FC 3–2 FC Dallas
Apr 2024FC Dallas 0–0 Seattle Sounders FC
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →FC Dallas form →Seattle Sounders FC form →

Common questions

Who won FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC?

FC Dallas beat Seattle Sounders FC 1–0. FC Dallas had 15 shots (3 on target) to Seattle Sounders FC's 16 (7), with 43% of the ball against 57%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 1.8, so Seattle Sounders FC created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC?

FC Dallas 1–0 Seattle Sounders FC, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Dallas 42%, the draw 26% and Seattle Sounders FC 32%.

What were the stats in FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.8, Shots 15–16, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 11–9, Big chances 1–2, Corners 7–11, Saves 7–2, Fouls 6–5, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC?

No. It finished 1–0, so Seattle Sounders FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.