What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win FC Cologne vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Bawler's model rates this match: FC Cologne are favoured (44% win probability vs 32% for TSG Hoffenheim, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for FC Cologne vs TSG Hoffenheim?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is FC Cologne 1-1 TSG Hoffenheim (10.9% probability). Expected total goals: 3.20.
How does Bawler predict FC Cologne vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives FC Cologne 44%, the draw 25% and TSG Hoffenheim 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in FC Cologne vs TSG Hoffenheim?
BTTS: Yes (63% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.74 and away expected goals 1.46.
Over or under 2.5 goals in FC Cologne vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.20. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).