How it finished
Estrela and Sporting CP drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Estrela at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 32%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Estrela had 9 shots (4 on target) to Sporting CP's 15 (8), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 2.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Estrela vs Sporting CP?
Estrela and Sporting CP drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Estrela at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 32%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Estrela had 9 shots (4 on target) to Sporting CP's 15 (8), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 2.6.
What was the final score in Estrela vs Sporting CP?
Estrela 2–2 Sporting CP, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Estrela 36%, the draw 32% and Sporting CP 32%.
What were the stats in Estrela vs Sporting CP?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–2.6, Shots 9–15, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 5–11, Big chances 1–5, Corners 5–4, Saves 6–2, Fouls 13–14, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Estrela vs Sporting CP?
Yes — both Estrela and Sporting CP scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Estrela vs Sporting CP right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Estrela 36%, it finished Draw (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 70%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.