Estonia vs Iceland prediction — UEFA Nations League · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 UK
15Estonia win23Draw61Iceland win
Full time
0–0

How it finished

Estonia and Iceland drew 0–0. Estonia had 13 shots (3 on target) to Iceland's 12 (1), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.6.

EstoniaFull-time statsIceland
38%Possession62%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.6
13Shots12
3Shots on target1
8Shots inside box9
0Big chances1
3Corners7
2Saves3
10Fouls9
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
We predicted
0–1
Iceland to win · 12% for this exact score
Expected goals
0.8v1.9
2.7 in total
Both teams score
48%
Leans no
3+ goals
51%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

EstoniaEstoniaIcelandIceland
0.8Goals1.9
EstoniaEstoniaIcelandIceland
0.4Goals0.8
EstoniaEstoniaIcelandIceland
0.5Goals1.0

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Iceland to score85%
2 or more goals75%
3 goals or fewer71%
Goal before half-time70%

First half — what we expected

Estonia
31%
to score before half-time
Iceland
56%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Sept 2026Iceland 1–1 Estonia
Jan 2023Iceland 1–1 Estonia
Jan 2019Estonia 0–0 Iceland
Mar 2015Estonia 1–1 Iceland
Jun 2014Iceland 1–0 Estonia
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Estonia form →Iceland form →

Common questions

Who won Estonia vs Iceland?

Estonia and Iceland drew 0–0. Estonia had 13 shots (3 on target) to Iceland's 12 (1), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.6.

What was the final score in Estonia vs Iceland?

Estonia 0–0 Iceland, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Estonia 15%, the draw 23% and Iceland 61%.

What were the stats in Estonia vs Iceland?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.6, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 8–9, Big chances 0–1, Corners 3–7, Saves 2–3, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Estonia vs Iceland?

No. It finished 0–0, so Estonia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.