Espanyol vs Real Madrid prediction — LaLiga · Sat 22 Aug · 20:30 UK

LaLiga · Sat 22 Aug · 20:30 UK
Espanyol 25Draw 25Real Madrid 49
The call
79%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

Real Madrid beat Espanyol 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Espanyol had 8 shots (3 on target) to Real Madrid's 21 (8), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.9.

EspanyolFull-time statsReal Madrid
37%Possession63%
1.1Expected goals (xG)2.9
8Shots21
3Shots on target8
5Shots inside box15
2Big chances3
0Corners8
6Saves2
19Fouls7
3Offsides0
5Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultReal Madrid 49%Real Madrid (49% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score57%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 79%Landed
Second callX2 75%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Real Madrid to score82%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Espanyol to score69%
Under 3.5 goals67%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ESP 1 · D 0 · MAD 4
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

May 2026Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid
Sept 2025Real Madrid 2–0 Espanyol
Feb 2025Espanyol 1–0 Real Madrid
Sept 2024Real Madrid 4–1 Espanyol
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid beat Espanyol 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Espanyol had 8 shots (3 on target) to Real Madrid's 21 (8), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.9.

What was the final score in Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

Espanyol 1–2 Real Madrid, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Espanyol 25%, the draw 25% and Real Madrid 49%.

What were the stats in Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.9, Shots 8–21, Shots on target 3–8, Shots inside box 5–15, Big chances 2–3, Corners 0–8, Saves 6–2, Fouls 19–7, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 5–1.

Did both teams score in Espanyol vs Real Madrid?

Yes — both Espanyol and Real Madrid scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Espanyol vs Real Madrid right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Real Madrid 49%, it finished Real Madrid (49% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said X2 75%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Espanyol form →Real Madrid form →