Match prediction·SCOTLAND: Premiership·Saturday 08 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Dundee vs Aberdeen

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
48.3% home30.0% draw21.7% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
DundeestepAberdeen
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Dundee average 4.4 corners per game at home this season (20 competitive matches). Aberdeen average 3.5 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
Aberdeen or draw
27%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Dundee fixtures & form →Aberdeen fixtures & form →

Dundee vs Aberdeen — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Dundee and Aberdeen — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Dundee 48% · draw 30% · Aberdeen 22%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

Dundee predictions & form →Aberdeen predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Dundee 0–1 Aberdeen
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.