Middlesbrough beat Doncaster Rovers 3–1. Bawler's model had Middlesbrough in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Doncaster Rovers had 12 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 24 (8), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Middlesbrough beat Doncaster Rovers 3–1. Bawler's model had Middlesbrough in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Doncaster Rovers had 12 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 24 (8), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.4.
Doncaster Rovers 1–3 Middlesbrough, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Doncaster Rovers 30%, the draw 27% and Middlesbrough 43%.
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.4, Shots 12–24, Shots on target 5–8, Shots inside box 9–16, Big chances 0–2, Corners 1–7, Saves 5–4, Fouls 13–16, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both Doncaster Rovers and Middlesbrough scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Middlesbrough or draw 70%, it finished Middlesbrough won (43% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.