Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelComo on top, and Nico Paz getting plenty of shots away.
Como v Juventus prediction
Our model makes Como favourites for this Serie A game, giving them a 43% chance of winning. Juventus are 30% and the draw is 27%. Our predicted score is Como 1–0 Juventus, the likeliest Como win score (10%). We expect 2.7 goals in total: 1.5 for Como and 1.2 for Juventus. Both teams scoring is 54% and three or more goals is 51%.
On shots, our forecast is 16.5 for Como and 11.2 for Juventus, with 5.4 and 3.8 on target, and corners at 5.2 to 3.6. So we expect Como to do more of the shooting. Of the players, Nico Paz of Como tops our shots forecast at 3.5, if they start. Anastasios Douvikas (Como) leads for shots on target, at 1.1. For cards, Jayden Addai (Como) has been booked once every 2 games in 2025/26, more often than anyone else here.
Of their last four meetings on our records, Como and Juventus have two wins each. When they last met, it finished Juventus 0–2 Como, in Feb 2026. Como come in with five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last six. Juventus have three wins, two draws and one defeat over the same run. Bawler's pick for this game is Como or Draw, Como Over 12.5 Shots and Nico Paz 2+ Shots. Our model gives all three landing together a 48% chance, which makes the fair price 11/10 (2.10).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Como · last 6
Juventus · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Como or draw is 70% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Serie A table →Common questions
Who will win Como vs Juventus?
Bawler's model rates this match: Como are favoured (43% win probability vs 30% for Juventus, 27% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Como vs Juventus?
Bawler's predicted score is Como 1-0 Juventus: the most likely score if Como win, which is the likeliest result (43%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.8%. Expected total goals: 2.7.
How does Bawler predict Como vs Juventus?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Como 43%, the draw 27% and Juventus 30%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Como vs Juventus?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on Como expecting 1.51 goals and Juventus 1.20.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Como vs Juventus?
Bawler's model expects 2.7 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 51%.
When are the Como v Juventus line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Como v Juventus?
Como or Draw (70%), Como Over 12.5 Shots (77%), Nico Paz 2+ Shots (80%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 48% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.10). 18+, please gamble responsibly.