Juventus on top, and Nick Woltemade getting plenty of shots away.
Juventus go into this Europa League match as strong favourites on our numbers: 77% to win, against 8% for Omonia Nicosia and 15% for a draw. Our predicted score is Juventus 2–0 Omonia Nicosia, at 11%. Our expected goals are 2.7 for Juventus and 0.8 for Omonia Nicosia, 3.4 in all. Both sides are more likely than not to score (50%) and three or more goals is 67%.
Of the players, Nick Woltemade (Juventus) tops both our lists, with 2.3 shots and 0.7 on target expected if they start. Jhon Lucumí of Juventus is the most booked player in either squad, once every 3 games in 2026/27. We expect Juventus to have 24.1 shots (5.9 on target) and Omonia Nicosia 7.9 (2.9 on target), and corners at 7.2 to 2.7. That points to Juventus doing more of the attacking.
On form, Juventus have three wins, two draws and one defeat from their last six games, and Omonia Nicosia have three wins, no draws and three defeats. Bawler's pick for this game is Juventus or Draw, Juventus Over 19.5 Shots and Nick Woltemade 2+ Shots. Our model gives all three landing together a 48% chance, which makes the fair price 11/10 (2.08).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
Juventus to win is 77% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Bawler's model rates this match: Juventus are favoured (77% win probability vs 8% for Omonia Nicosia, 15% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
Bawler's predicted score is Juventus 2-0 Omonia Nicosia: the most likely score if Juventus win, which is the likeliest result (77%). Our model puts that exact score at 11.4%. Expected total goals: 3.4.
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Juventus 77%, the draw 15% and Omonia Nicosia 8%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 50% chance. That is based on Juventus expecting 2.67 goals and Omonia Nicosia 0.77.
Bawler's model expects 3.4 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 67%.
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
Juventus or Draw (92%), Juventus Over 19.5 Shots (76%), Nick Woltemade 2+ Shots (62%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 48% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.08). 18+, please gamble responsibly.