Juventus on top, and Nick Woltemade getting plenty of shots away.
Our model makes Juventus clear favourites for this Serie A game, with a 68% chance of winning. Venezia are given 13%, and the draw 20%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Juventus 2–0 Venezia, at 11%. We expect 3.1 goals in total: 2.2 for Juventus and 0.9 for Venezia. Both sides are more likely than not to score (52%) and three or more goals is 60%.
We expect Juventus to have 22.4 shots (7.4 on target) and Venezia 10.3 (2.7 on target), and corners at 7.4 to 3.1. That points to Juventus doing more of the attacking. Of their last four meetings on our records, Juventus have won two, Venezia none, and two were drawn. The last meeting ended Venezia 2–3 Juventus, in May 2025.
Juventus come in with three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last six. Venezia have two wins, no draws and four defeats over the same run. Joël Schingtienne of Venezia is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. Bawler's pick combines Juventus or Draw, Juventus Over 17.5 Shots and Nick Woltemade 2+ Shots. We make the chance of all three coming in 45%, a fair price of 6/5 (2.22).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
Juventus to win is 68% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Bawler's model rates this match: Juventus are favoured (68% win probability vs 13% for Venezia, 20% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
Bawler's predicted score is Juventus 2-0 Venezia: the most likely score if Juventus win, which is the likeliest result (68%). Our model puts that exact score at 11.0%. Expected total goals: 3.1.
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Juventus 68%, the draw 20% and Venezia 13%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 52% chance. That is based on Juventus expecting 2.25 goals and Venezia 0.88.
Bawler's model expects 3.1 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
Juventus or Draw (87%), Juventus Over 17.5 Shots (79%), Nick Woltemade 2+ Shots (60%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 45% chance, a fair price of 6/5 (2.22). 18+, please gamble responsibly.