Juventus vs Venezia prediction — Serie A · Sun 22 Nov · 11:30 UK

Serie A · Sun 22 Nov · 11:30 UKUpdated Sun 8 Nov, 00:07 UK
68Juventus win20Draw13Venezia win
The call
68%
Juventus to win

Bawler's pick

3 legs, built by our model

Juventus on top, and Nick Woltemade getting plenty of shots away.

Result87%
Juventus or Draw
Shots79%
Juventus Over 17.5 Shots
Player · shots60%
Nick Woltemade 2+ Shots
45%
chance all 3 land
6/5
fair price · 2.22
Build your own →Fair price: what this should pay if 45% is right. The legs move together, so it's above the 41% you get by multiplying them.
18+Forecasts, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly.BeGambleAware.org

Juventus v Venezia prediction

Our model makes Juventus clear favourites for this Serie A game, with a 68% chance of winning. Venezia are given 13%, and the draw 20%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Juventus 2–0 Venezia, at 11%. We expect 3.1 goals in total: 2.2 for Juventus and 0.9 for Venezia. Both sides are more likely than not to score (52%) and three or more goals is 60%.

We expect Juventus to have 22.4 shots (7.4 on target) and Venezia 10.3 (2.7 on target), and corners at 7.4 to 3.1. That points to Juventus doing more of the attacking. Of their last four meetings on our records, Juventus have won two, Venezia none, and two were drawn. The last meeting ended Venezia 2–3 Juventus, in May 2025.

Juventus come in with three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last six. Venezia have two wins, no draws and four defeats over the same run. Joël Schingtienne of Venezia is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. Bawler's pick combines Juventus or Draw, Juventus Over 17.5 Shots and Nick Woltemade 2+ Shots. We make the chance of all three coming in 45%, a fair price of 6/5 (2.22).

Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org

Predicted score
2–0
Juventus to win · 11% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.2v0.9
3.1 in total
Both teams score
52%
Leans yes
3+ goals
60%
Likely

Players to watch

What we expect from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

JuventusJuventusVeneziaVenezia
2.2Goals0.9
usually 1.3usually 0.7
22.4Shots10.3
usually 12.5usually 13.5
7.4On target2.7
usually 3.2usually 3.7
7.4Corners3.1
usually 6.5usually 4.0
JuventusJuventusVeneziaVenezia
0.8Goals0.3
10.1Shots3.7
usually 5.0usually 5.0
3.2On target0.9
usually 1.5usually 1.3
3.5Corners1.5
usually 3.3usually 1.2
JuventusJuventusVeneziaVenezia
1.5Goals0.6
12.3Shots6.6
4.1On target1.7
3.9Corners1.7

More chances

Juventus to score89%
2 or more goals82%
Goal before half-time66%
3 goals or fewer62%

Juventus · last 6

Wat AZ Alkmaar2–19 shots
Wv Napoli2–018 shots
Lat Genoa0–217 shots
Wat Lecce2–08 shots
Dv Rennes2–214 shots
Lv Lazio0–39 shots

Venezia · last 6

Wv Udinese2–115 shots
Lat Como0–17 shots
Lv Inter0–212 shots
Lat Genoa0–119 shots
Wv Napoli1–09 shots
Lat Atalanta1–319 shots

League position

Venezia in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2025Venezia 2–3 Juventus
Dec 2024Juventus 2–2 Venezia
May 2022Juventus 2–1 Venezia
Dec 2021Venezia 1–1 Juventus

First half — what we expect

Juventus
54%
to score before half-time
Venezia
25%
to score before half-time

First-half chances

How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.

JuventusJuventusVeneziaVenezia
63%9+ shots<10%
43%11+ shots<10%
79%2+ shots on target24%
40%4+ shots on target<10%
81%2+ corners41%
44%4+ corners<10%

Second half — who scores?

At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.

What would change the call

Juventus to win is 68% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:

Juventus lead 1–0 at half-time85%
Venezia lead 1–0 at half-time23%
Goalless at half-time52%

Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.

Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Juventus form →Venezia form →

Common questions

Who will win Juventus vs Venezia?

Bawler's model rates this match: Juventus are favoured (68% win probability vs 13% for Venezia, 20% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.

What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Venezia?

Bawler's predicted score is Juventus 2-0 Venezia: the most likely score if Juventus win, which is the likeliest result (68%). Our model puts that exact score at 11.0%. Expected total goals: 3.1.

How does Bawler predict Juventus vs Venezia?

Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Juventus 68%, the draw 20% and Venezia 13%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Juventus vs Venezia?

Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 52% chance. That is based on Juventus expecting 2.25 goals and Venezia 0.88.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Juventus vs Venezia?

Bawler's model expects 3.1 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 60%.

When are the Juventus v Venezia line-ups announced?

Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.

What is Bawler's pick for Juventus v Venezia?

Juventus or Draw (87%), Juventus Over 17.5 Shots (79%), Nick Woltemade 2+ Shots (60%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 45% chance, a fair price of 6/5 (2.22). 18+, please gamble responsibly.