How it finished
Chelsea beat Brighton & Hove Albion 4–3. Bawler's model had Chelsea in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 7. Chelsea had 17 shots (6 on target) to Brighton & Hove Albion's 15 (6), with 26% of the ball against 74%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 72%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Chelsea beat Brighton & Hove Albion 4–3. Bawler's model had Chelsea in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 7. Chelsea had 17 shots (6 on target) to Brighton & Hove Albion's 15 (6), with 26% of the ball against 74%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 1.5.
What was the final score in Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Chelsea 4–3 Brighton & Hove Albion, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Chelsea 43%, the draw 26% and Brighton & Hove Albion 32%.
What were the stats in Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Full-time: Possession 26%–74%, Expected goals (xG) 3.0–1.5, Shots 17–15, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 15–13, Big chances 6–5, Corners 4–7, Saves 4–1, Fouls 6–12, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Yes — both Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion scored, finishing 4–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Chelsea 43%, it finished Chelsea (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 80%, it finished Landed.