FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Tromso 0–0 Brighton & Hove AlbionMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Brighton & Hove Albion to win at 61%. Bawler had Tromso at 18%, the draw at 22% and Brighton & Hove Albion at 61%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Tromso win
18%
Draw
22%
Result
Brighton & Hove Albion win
61%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.0 – 2.1
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−3.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 3.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Brighton & Hove Albion or draw
Pre-match: 82%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 22%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.