How it finished
FC Porto beat Casa Pia 4–1. Casa Pia had 15 shots (5 on target) to FC Porto's 17 (4), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.5.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Head to head
Around this fixture
Liga Portugal table →Common questions
Who won Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
FC Porto beat Casa Pia 4–1. Casa Pia had 15 shots (5 on target) to FC Porto's 17 (4), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.5.
What was the final score in Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
Casa Pia 1–4 FC Porto, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Casa Pia 10%, the draw 20% and FC Porto 70%.
What were the stats in Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–2.5, Shots 15–17, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 6–12, Big chances 3–4, Corners 5–10, Saves 0–4, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 4–1.
Did both teams score in Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
Yes — both Casa Pia and FC Porto scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 43% before kickoff.