Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa prediction — Premier League · Sun 23 Aug · 14:00 UK

Premier League · Sun 23 Aug · 14:00 UK
Brighton & Hove Albion 46Draw 26Aston Villa 28
The call
77%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0

How it finished

Brighton & Hove Albion beat Aston Villa 4–0. Bawler's model had Brighton & Hove Albion in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Brighton & Hove Albion had 21 shots (6 on target) to Aston Villa's 6 (0), with 73% of the ball against 27%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.3.

Brighton &…Full-time statsAston Villa
73%Possession27%
3.7Expected goals (xG)0.3
21Shots6
6Shots on target0
15Shots inside box2
6Big chances0
5Corners2
0Saves3
12Fouls9
6Offsides2
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBrighton & Hove Albion 46%Brighton & Hove Albion (46% called)
Total goals2.84
Both teams to score56%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 77%Landed
Second call1X 72%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Brighton & Hove Albion to score80%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Aston Villa to score70%
Under 3.5 goals69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5BRI 1 · D 1 · AST 3
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Feb 2026Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion
Dec 2025Brighton & Hove Albion 3–4 Aston Villa
Apr 2025Brighton & Hove Albion 0–3 Aston Villa
Dec 2024Aston Villa 2–2 Brighton & Hove Albion
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?

Brighton & Hove Albion beat Aston Villa 4–0. Bawler's model had Brighton & Hove Albion in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Brighton & Hove Albion had 21 shots (6 on target) to Aston Villa's 6 (0), with 73% of the ball against 27%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.3.

What was the final score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?

Brighton & Hove Albion 4–0 Aston Villa, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Brighton & Hove Albion 46%, the draw 26% and Aston Villa 28%.

What were the stats in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?

Full-time: Possession 73%–27%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–0.3, Shots 21–6, Shots on target 6–0, Shots inside box 15–2, Big chances 6–0, Corners 5–2, Saves 0–3, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 6–2, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?

No. It finished 4–0, so Aston Villa failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Brighton & Hove Albion 46%, it finished Brighton & Hove Albion (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 72%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Brighton & Hove Albion form →Aston Villa form →