How it finished
Borussia Dortmund beat Hamburg SV 2–0. Bawler's model had Borussia Dortmund in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Borussia Dortmund had 20 shots (6 on target) to Hamburg SV's 8 (3), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg SV?
Borussia Dortmund beat Hamburg SV 2–0. Bawler's model had Borussia Dortmund in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Borussia Dortmund had 20 shots (6 on target) to Hamburg SV's 8 (3), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg SV?
Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hamburg SV, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Borussia Dortmund 65%, the draw 20% and Hamburg SV 15%.
What were the stats in Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg SV?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.8, Shots 20–8, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 12–4, Big chances 0–2, Corners 3–1, Saves 3–5, Fouls 13–19, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–1, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg SV?
No. It finished 2–0, so Hamburg SV failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg SV right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Borussia Dortmund to win 65%, it finished Borussia Dortmund won (65% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No.