Bolivia vs Paraguay prediction — International Friendly · Sun 27 Sept · 21:30 UK

International Friendly · Sun 27 Sept · 21:30 UK
Bolivia 9Draw 21Paraguay 71
The call
71%
Paraguay to win
2.5
Goals expected
12d 21hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Paraguay to score86%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Both teams to score — no63%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-1.4 / match
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Common questions

Who will win Bolivia vs Paraguay?

Bawler's model rates this match: Paraguay are favoured (71% win probability vs 9% for Bolivia, 21% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Bolivia vs Paraguay?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Bolivia 0-1 Paraguay (15.5% probability). Expected total goals: 2.54.

How does Bawler predict Bolivia vs Paraguay?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Bolivia 9%, the draw 21% and Paraguay 71%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Bolivia vs Paraguay?

BTTS: No (63% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 0.56 and away expected goals 1.98.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Bolivia vs Paraguay?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.54. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).