Benfica vs Académico de Viseu prediction — Liga Portugal · Sun 9 Aug · 20:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sun 9 Aug · 20:30 UK
Benfica 59Draw 27Académico de Viseu 15
The call
77%
Benfica or draw
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Benfica and Académico de Viseu drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Benfica at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Benfica had 28 shots (11 on target) to Académico de Viseu's 8 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 1.2.

BenficaFull-time statsAcadémico de…
62%Possession38%
3.1Expected goals (xG)1.2
28Shots8
11Shots on target4
24Shots inside box8
3Big chances2
10Corners2
2Saves8
14Fouls13
1Offsides2
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBenfica 59%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.84
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model call1X 77%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Benfica to score86%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.1 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Benfica vs Académico de Viseu?

Benfica and Académico de Viseu drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Benfica at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Benfica had 28 shots (11 on target) to Académico de Viseu's 8 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Benfica vs Académico de Viseu?

Benfica 2–2 Académico de Viseu, played on 09 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Benfica 59%, the draw 27% and Académico de Viseu 15%.

What were the stats in Benfica vs Académico de Viseu?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 3.1–1.2, Shots 28–8, Shots on target 11–4, Shots inside box 24–8, Big chances 3–2, Corners 10–2, Saves 2–8, Fouls 14–13, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Benfica vs Académico de Viseu?

Yes — both Benfica and Académico de Viseu scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Benfica vs Académico de Viseu right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Benfica 59%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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